EUR/USD in stasis even as ECB sources downplay rate cut odds

EUR/USD struggles to acquire upside traction notwithstanding the European Central Bank (ECB) taking walks returned on its latest tries to jawbone the single currency.

On Friday, Reuters quoted 5 sources as announcing that the central financial institution is not likely to limit its already-record low coverage price to counter the coronavirus-induced slowdown, as it would have a restricted have an effect on on the economy. Besides, the euro’s trade charge is nonetheless inside its historic range, notwithstanding having rallied by means of 14% towards the greenback when you consider that March.

The markets had been caught off protect remaining week after Dutch central bank’s governor Klaas Knot signaled scope for a deeper reduce in the Deposit Facility Rate, presently at minus 0.5%.

However, whilst the central financial institution looks to have backed off from its dovish messaging, the EUR bulls stay elusive. EUR/USD is buying and selling mostly unchanged on the day close to 1.2130, having confronted rejection above 1.2150 on Friday.

Bank of America Global Research sees scope for a draw back correction over the coming weeks. “The EU economic system is vulnerable and is weakening further. The lockdown continues, and vaccination has been disappointingly slow,” the financial institution noted.

Seasonality additionally favors a pullback in EUR/USD. According to Credit Agricole CIB Research, the USD tends to do properly on common in February, with historical features especially reported when they observed huge losses in January.

Data-wise, the center of attention nowadays is on the German Retail Sales, Manufacturing PMI, and the US ISM Non-Manufacturing figure.

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