Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD slides to $1,820 area, downside seems limited

Gold was seen oscillating during a narrow trading band through the primary half the ecu session.
A combination of things extended some support, though the shortage of shopping for warrants caution.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD set to check $1850 amid bullish technical setup, US PCE eyed
Update: Gold traded with a light negative bias round the $1,825 region, or daily lows, during the first North American session, albeit lacked any follow-through selling. A goodish US dollar rebound from one-month lows in reaction to St. Louis Fed President James Bullard’s hawkish comments, saying that the US financial institution should taper asset purchases this fall and go fairly rapidly. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that weighed on the dollar-denominated commodity. aside from this, a comparatively flat opening within the US equity markets further acted as a headwind for traditional safe-haven assets, including gold.

The downside, however, remains cushioned, a minimum of for the nonce , amid signs that the Fed will wait a touch longer before slowing its massive monetary support. Dovish Fed expectations, along side a fresh leg down within the US Treasury bond yields extended some support to the non-yielding gold. Moreover, the XAU/USD, so far, has managed to carry its neck above the vital 200-day SMA. This further favours bullish traders and supports prospects for extra gains. Some follow-through buying beyond the monthly swing highs, round the $1,834 region, will reaffirm the outlook and pave the way for an extra near-term appreciating move.

Previous update: Gold consolidated the overnight strong gains back closer to monthly tops and oscillated during a narrow trading band, round the $1,825-30 region through the primary half the ecu session. Worries about the potential economic fallout from the fast-spreading Delta variant of the coronavirus continued weighing on investors’ sentiment. This clothed to be one among the key factors that continued underpinning the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Meanwhile, the risk-off impulse within the markets triggered a fresh leg down within the US Treasury bond yields. This comes on the rear of the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks on Wednesday and further acted as a tailwind for the non-yielding gold. aside from this, the prevalent selling bias surrounding the US dollar extended some additional support to the dollar-denominated commodity, though the shortage of any follow-through buying warrants caution for bulls.

Nevertheless, gold remains on target to record its biggest weekly gains since May 21 and seems poised to understand further amid signs that the Fed will stick with its ultra-lose policy stance for a extended period. The US financial institution on Wednesday acknowledged that the economy has made progress towards the utmost employment and price stability goals. However, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell took a dovish turn at the post-meeting news conference .

Powell emphasised that they were some ways faraway from substantial progress on jobs. He was also cautious about tapering and said that policymakers discussed some details but it’ll take a couple of more meetings to urge into it. The market speculations were further reinforced by Thursday’s disappointing US GDP report, which showed that the world’s largest economy expanded by 6.5% annualized pace within the second quarter as against the 8.5% growth anticipated.

Technical outlook
Looking at the technical picture, acceptance above the vital 200-day SMA favours bullish traders. That said, it’ll be prudent to attend for a few follow-through buying beyond the monthly swing highs, round the $1,834 region, before positioning for any longer upside. subsequent relevant hurdle is pegged near the $1,845-46 area, above which gold is probably going to accelerate the momentum towards the $1,866 area. Some follow-through buying should allow bulls to eventually aim to reclaim the $1,900 round-figure mark.

On the flip side, the 200-day SMA, currently round the $1,821 region, might now protect the immediate downside. this is often followed by support near the $1,810 horizontal level, below which gold could slide back to the $1,800 mark. Some follow-through selling below the key $1,790 support might prompt some aggressive technical selling. subsequent relevant support is pegged near the $1,765-60 region before the XAU/USD eventually drops to challenge monthly swing lows, round the $1,750 region.

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