USD/CAD: Near-term bias on the loonie remains constructive – Credit Suisse

Ahead of today’s Bank of Canada meeting, economists at Credit Suisse keep a positive near-term bias on the loonie and keep a 1.2750-1.2780 intention differ for USD/CAD. A uniquely sturdy us of a huge vaccine procurement outlook and hopes of US fiscal stimulus are new supportive qualities for the Canadian dollar.

Key quotes
“Our bias is to view the improvements on the scientific outlook the the front as greater relevant from a danger administration standpoint, often as markets are likely to view the ultra-modern extend in fiscal spending delivered on November 30 via the Trudeau administration as partly offsetting the likely horrible growth have an have an impact on on of renewed lockdown measures. This leaves us looking for no predominant alternate in the BoC key insurance measures and in beforehand guidance.”

“The modern COVID-19 vaccine procurements documents suggests Canada as having booked the single best extent of vaccine dose on a populace scaled groundwork in the world. This dictates larger united states vast resilience to vaccine rollout and distribution troubles that would maybe emerge in the coming weeks.”

“While the outcome of negotiations in US Congress on a viable stimulus consignment stays uncertain, the tone of the communicate looks to have multiplied over the preceding week, with greater proof of compromise in the pipeline. CAD, due to its gearing to US make bigger and to its pro-cyclical traits, stands as more perhaps to attain than one of a kind pro-cyclical currencies from in a similar fashion tremendous developments on this front.”


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